Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 12

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Genis Steel Stadium (Melbourne)


	Preston Lions		Dandenong City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.15
	1.74	3.85	4.43
	1.42	4.76	6.15	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	1.7	3.48	4.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.73)	3.82 ↑ (3.71)	4.67 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston Lions
56%

Draw
24.2%

Dandenong City
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

24.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

23.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Dandenong City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston Lions than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (+2%)

Preston Lions - Dandenong City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Preston (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Preston (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Preston (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Preston Lions has had a series of away games.

In this match, Preston Lions is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Preston Lions won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Preston Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston Lions
Australian NPL Victoria
02.05.26	Dandenong Thunder - Preston Lions	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Green Gully - Preston Lions	0:4 ✺
17.04.26	Bentleigh Greens - Preston Lions	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Preston Lions - South Melbourne	0:3 ✺
27.03.26	Hume City - Preston Lions	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTLL
- Dandenong City SC
Australian NPL Victoria
02.05.26	Altona Magic - Dandenong City	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Dandenong City - Dandenong Thunder	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Dandenong City - Green Gully	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Dandenong City - Bentleigh Greens	3:0 ✺
31.03.26	South Melbourne - Dandenong City	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
23.05.25	Preston Lions - Dandenong City	1:1
14.02.25	Dandenong City - Preston Lions	2:2

Preston Lions - Dandenong City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide