Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 10

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Green Gully Reserve (Melbourne)


	Green Gully		Preston Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.65	3.55	1.8
	3.57	3.65	1.99
	3.13	3.57	2.10	Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.91
	3.69	3.55	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.7)	3.52 ↓ (3.68)	1.92 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Green Gully
26.2%

Draw
26.1%

Preston Lions
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

24.8%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

23.7%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Green Gully has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Preston Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Green Gully than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston Lions than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Green Gully - Preston Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 🟥,
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Green Gully has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Preston Lions's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Green Gully has had a series of away games.

In this match, Preston Lions is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Green Gully won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Green Gully won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Green Gully SC
Australian NPL Victoria
17.04.26	Dandenong City - Green Gully	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Dandenong Thunder - Green Gully	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Altona Magic - Green Gully	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Bentleigh Greens - Green Gully	4:0 ✺
13.03.26	Green Gully - South Melbourne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTLL
- Preston Lions
Australian NPL Victoria
17.04.26	Bentleigh Greens - Preston Lions	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Preston Lions - South Melbourne	0:3 ✺
27.03.26	Hume City - Preston Lions	3:2 ✺
20.03.26	Preston Lions - Avondale	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Preston Lions - Caroline Springs George Cross	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
15.08.25	Green Gully - Preston Lions	0:1
02.05.25	Preston Lions - Green Gully	3:2

Green Gully - Preston Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide