Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 11

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Paisley Park (Melbourne)


	Altona Magic		Dandenong City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.25	2.35	Watch
	2.64	3.34	2.49
	1.53	3.78	6.29	Watch
	2.63	3.2	2.4
	2.66	3.45	2.48	Watch
	2.7	3.35	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.7)	3.4 ↑ (3.35)	3.03 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altona Magic
39.4%

Draw
28.6%

Dandenong City
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

26.5%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

25.6%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altona Magic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altona Magic's performance.

Dandenong City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dandenong City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altona Magic than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altona Magic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dandenong City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Altona Magic - Dandenong City Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dandenong City will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
84', 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altona Magic won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dandenong City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dandenong City has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Altona Magic won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Altona Magic won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altona Magic
Australian NPL Victoria
25.04.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Altona Magic	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Altona Magic - Dandenong Thunder	2:4 ✺
10.04.26	Heidelberg United - Altona Magic	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Altona Magic - Green Gully	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Melbourne City Youth - Altona Magic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLTTT
- Dandenong City SC
Australian NPL Victoria
24.04.26	Dandenong City - Dandenong Thunder	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Dandenong City - Green Gully	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Dandenong City - Bentleigh Greens	3:0 ✺
31.03.26	South Melbourne - Dandenong City	4:2 ✺
20.03.26	Dandenong City - Hume City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
20.06.25	Dandenong City - Altona Magic	2:1
15.03.25	Altona Magic - Dandenong City	0:0
25.05.24	Altona Magic - Dandenong City	0:2
16.02.24	Dandenong City - Altona Magic	3:2
09.07.22	Dandenong City - Altona Magic	2:1
09.04.22	Altona Magic - Dandenong City	2:0
09.07.21	Dandenong City - Altona Magic	1:1

Altona Magic - Dandenong City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide