Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 1

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Altos		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.5	3.2	2	Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.04
	3.43	2.95	1.89
	3.5	3.3	1.91
	3.61	3.32	1.93	Watch
	3.8	3.05	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	1.96 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altos
26%

Draw
28.1%

Vitória Salvador
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

31.2%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jhonathe Itallo de Sousa Matias (G) 6. Arthurzinho 7. Brayann 10. da Silva Costa Junior V. 4. de Santana Barros A. (C) 2. Guilherme L. 5. Hudson 3. Leandro 8. Marcelo Piaui 11. Roger Gaucho 9. Taumaturgo M.	12. Muriel (G) 9. Alerrandro 13. Camutanga 7. Iury Castilho 10. Matheuzinho 11. Osvaldo 14. Patric Calmon 21. Rodrigues E. 4. Wagner Leonardo 5. Willian Oliveira 2. Zeca (C)
Substitutes
21. Adriano Napao 15. Alberte . Antony 19. Iago Leite 17. Lucas Gomes 16. Lucas Manga 13. Mhaylon 24. Neto P. 22. Rhuann 14. Ricardo 18. Rodrigo 12. Vinicius Rodrigues (G)	22. Caceres R. 19. Caio Dantas 8. Caio Vinicius 15. Castillo E. 20. Everaldo 6. Lucas Esteves 23. Maycon (G) 3. Zapata C. 17. Ze Hugo

Preview

Altos is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Vitória is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vitória could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Altos have a series of home games.

Vitória will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Altos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Altos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Atlética de Altos
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
31.01.24	Altos - 4 de Julho	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Altos - Picos	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Altos - Ríver PI	0:3 ✺
17.01.24	4 de Julho - Altos	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.01.24	Altos - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLWW
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
31.01.24	Jequié - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Vitória Salvador - Juazeirense	3:0 ✺
24.01.24	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Vitória Salvador - Bahia de Feira	1:0 ✺
17.01.24	Jacuipense - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
25.06.22	Altos - Vitória Salvador	0:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.04.21	Vitória Salvador - Altos	2:1

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