Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 16

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: J Davidson Stadium (Altrincham)


	Altrincham		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5
	1.57	4	4.33
	1.65	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.63	4.4	4.77
	1.63	4.4	4.78
	1.44	4.33	5.5
	1.61	4.15	4.63
	1.58	4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.68)	4.14 ↑ (3.78)	4.76 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altrincham
58.2%

Draw
22.4%

Dorking Wanderers
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

24.4%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

23.7%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altrincham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	3.3%	13.3%

Altrincham - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: Altrincham will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Gould M. (G) 4. Baines L. 2. Banks L. 10. Conn-Clarke C. 15. Cooper J. 3. Jones E. 7. Kosylo M. 9. Linney R. 8. Marriott I. (C) 30. Newby A. 6. Osborne E.	1. Male H. (G) 29. Blair T. 8. Briggs M. 16. Carter C. 15. Cook J. 22. Fuller B. (C) 19. Hollis H. 9. Prior J. 4. Pybus D. 10. Rutherford A. 17. Taylor J.
Substitutes
11. Amaluzor J. 14. Angus D. 44. Mooney D. 16. Roscoe S. 19. Wilson G.	5. Craig T. 6. McManus N. 18. Moore L. 7. Muitt J. 3. Taylor B.

Preview

Postponed due to storm.

Altrincham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dorking is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Altrincham is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Altrincham to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Altrincham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Altrincham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altrincham
English National League
02.03.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Altrincham	3:1 ✺
27.02.24	Southend United - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Altrincham - Maidenhead United	1:3 ✺
20.02.24	Hartlepool United - Altrincham	3:2 ✺
17.02.24	Aldershot Town - Altrincham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
02.03.24	Dorking Wanderers - Chesterfield	4:1 ✺
24.02.24	Dorking Wanderers - Ebbsfleet United	1:4 ✺
17.02.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Dorking Wanderers	0:0 ✺
13.02.24	York City - Dorking Wanderers	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Dorking Wanderers - Halifax Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.04.23	Dorking Wanderers - Altrincham	3:2
08.10.22	Altrincham - Dorking Wanderers	4:1

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