Match Info

National League - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hartlepool United		Altrincham

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.7
	1.95	3.45	3.6
	2	3.38	3.67	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.6
	1.9	3.59	3.79
	1.92	3.6	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.87)	3.49 ↓ (3.63)	3.67 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
48.2%

Draw
26.6%

Altrincham
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

25.5%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

22%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Altrincham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartlepool United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Hartlepool United - Altrincham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hayes N. (G) 2. Benn J. 6. McNally R. 5. Kouogun M. 4. Parkes T. (C) 14. Sheron N. 15. Hunter J. 10. Campbell A. 18. Miley J. 11. Charman L. 19. Reid A.	30. Hutchinson L. (G) 33. Jones E. 5. Cooper J. 34. Sassi D. 23. Golden T. 26. Forde A. 10. Khan O. 40. Kirk C. 7. Crankshaw O. 9. Gale J. 22. Crawford T. (C)
Substitutes
30. Aungiers J. 24. Brown P. 28. Daly M. 8. Ferguson N. . Folarin S. 9. Johnson D. 40. Smith A. (G)	27. Fallon L. (G) 6. Grant J. 28. Humbles L. 11. Knowles J. 14. Kosylo M. 8. Marriott I. 17. Weaver L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Sheron N. 🟨,
11', Kirk C. 🟨,
45+1', Crankshaw O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Charman L. 🟨,
57', Jones E. 🟨,
59', Kirk C. ↓, Kosylo M. ↑,
61', McNally R. 🟨,
67', Crawford T. 🟨,
73', Hunter J. ↓, Daly M. ↑,
73', Campbell A. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
74', Khan O. ↓, Marriott I. ↑,
75', Forde A. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
81', Sassi D. 🟨,
82', Hutchinson L. 🟨,
83', 1 - 0, Reid A. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Golden T. ↓, Humbles L. ↑,
88', Gale J. ↓, Weaver L. ↑,
90+3', Hayes N. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 2.

Recent form of Hartlepool has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Altrincham has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Altrincham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hartlepool might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Altrincham	13	8	0	5	20:19	1	24
20	Hartlepool	13	4	0	9	12:19	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
10.01.26	Woking - Hartlepool United	4:0 ✺
30.12.25	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Hartlepool United - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Braintree Town - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Hartlepool United - Anstey Nomads	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLTL
- Altrincham
English National League
30.12.25	Altrincham - York City	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Halifax Town - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
19.12.25	Altrincham - Rochdale	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	AFC Telford United - Altrincham	4:3 ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Aldershot Town - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
19.08.25	Altrincham - Hartlepool United	0:2
18.02.25	Hartlepool United - Altrincham	1:2
23.10.24	Altrincham - Hartlepool United	1:1
20.02.24	Hartlepool United - Altrincham	3:2
19.09.23	Altrincham - Hartlepool United	2:2
09.03.21	Altrincham - Hartlepool United	1:1
27.10.20	Hartlepool United - Altrincham	1:1

Hartlepool United - Altrincham: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide