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Current Win Probability
Dorking Wanderers 29.5%
Draw 27.7%
Ebbsfleet United 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
27.1%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
26.6%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorking Wanderers's form might have worsened.
Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ebbsfleet United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ebbsfleet United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dorking Wanderers - Ebbsfleet United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Chapman B. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Lewis D. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Camp B. ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, Pearson ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.8:1.8).
Outrights of English National League South for now
Watch
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