Match Info

2. SNL - Round 30

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Sportni park Aluminij (Kidricevo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 10
Poland	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub 3


	Aluminij Kidricevo		Triglav

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.5	3	2.7	Watch
	2.56	3.02	2.76
	2.58	3.14	2.78	Watch
	2.3	3.7	2.47
	2.5	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.24)	3.14 ↑ (3.13)	2.74 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aluminij Kidricevo
37.4%

Draw
29.1%

Triglav
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminij Kidricevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Triglav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aluminij Kidricevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triglav than the current prediction. (-5%)

Aluminij Kidricevo - Triglav Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Brkic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 1 - 1, Saitoski E. ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, Cukjati J. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga and 2).

Aluminij is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Prva liga

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aluminij won 4.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Aluminij is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Aluminij won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:14. (average 2.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Aluminij won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:7. (average 2.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian 2 SNL
18.05.25	Rudar Velenje - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:3 ✺
12.05.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Brinje-Grosuplje	4:2 ✺
06.05.25	Beltinci - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:4 ✺
02.05.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Gorica	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Ilirija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWTW
- NK Triglav Kranj
Slovenian 2 SNL
18.05.25	Triglav - Dravinja	4:0 ✺
12.05.25	Jadran Dekani - Triglav	1:6 ✺
07.05.25	Triglav - Tolmin	5:0 ✺
04.05.25	Krka - Triglav	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Triglav - Bilje	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
16.11.24	Triglav - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:4
24.03.23	Triglav - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:4
09.09.22	Aluminij Kidricevo - Triglav	0:1
Slovenian PrvaLiga
21.06.20	Triglav - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:4
04.12.19	Aluminij Kidricevo - Triglav	8:1
26.09.19	Triglav - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:0
19.07.19	Aluminij Kidricevo - Triglav	2:1

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