Match Info

2. SNL - Round 29

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Mestni stadion ob jezeru (Velenje)


	Rudar Velenje		Aluminij Kidricevo

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.33	1.62
				Watch
	4.13	4.7	1.55
	4.44	4.82	1.58	Watch
	4.73	4.55	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (4.08)	4.6 ↑ (4.55)	1.56 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rudar Velenje
21.5%

Draw
19.9%

Aluminij Kidricevo
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

20.2%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

19.6%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rudar Velenje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Aluminij Kidricevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudar Velenje than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Rudar Velenje - Aluminij Kidricevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Krefl A. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Susso B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 3, Susso B. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rudar won 1.

Rudar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aluminij is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Aluminij is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rudar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Rudar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rudar Velenje
Slovenian 2 SNL
11.05.25	Dravinja - Rudar Velenje	0:1 ✺
08.05.25	Rudar Velenje - Jadran Dekani	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Tolmin - Rudar Velenje	0:4 ✺
25.04.25	Rudar Velenje - Krka	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Bilje - Rudar Velenje	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTWTW
- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian 2 SNL
12.05.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Brinje-Grosuplje	4:2 ✺
06.05.25	Beltinci - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:4 ✺
02.05.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Gorica	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Ilirija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:4 ✺
18.04.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
09.11.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Rudar Velenje	2:0
Slovenian Cup
30.10.24	Rudar Velenje - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:2
Slovenian 2 SNL
03.03.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Rudar Velenje	2:2
21.08.22	Rudar Velenje - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:1
Club Friendly
28.01.15	Aluminij Kidricevo - Rudar Velenje	0:1
22.01.14	Aluminij Kidricevo - Rudar Velenje	2:2
Slovenian PrvaLiga
05.05.13	Aluminij Kidricevo - Rudar Velenje	3:5

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