Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti (Maipu)


	Deportivo Maipú		Club Almagro

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.25	5.5	Watch
	1.83	3	4.5
	1.8	3.05	4.75
	1.81	3.32	5.38
	1.82	3.13	5.09	Watch
	1.73	3.25	5
	1.73	3.25	5.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.17)	3.18 ↑ (2.81)	5.1 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
52.5%

Draw
29.3%

Club Almagro
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

33.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

32.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Maipú's performance.

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Club Almagro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Maipú that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportivo Maipú - Club Almagro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galardi N. (G) 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 2. Arnijas L. 8. Bonfigli M. 3. de la Reta J. 10. Eggel M. (C) 4. Faggioli L. 9. Giacone J. 11. Gobetto J. 5. Mansilla G. 7. Saccone F.	1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Asis G. 11. Belinetz O. 9. Benegas M. 10. Bustamante F. 3. Busto L. 2. Cortave M. 7. Fernandes J. 5. Marchioni J. 6. Marco F. 8. Palacio P.
Substitutes
19. Cabrera L. 15. Fernandez N. 14. Ortale M. 13. Paulini S. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 20. Rivarola F. 18. Silva T. 16. Vera J. 17. Viguet M.	14. Blanco P. 20. Chavez A. 15. Flores J. 18. Lopez T. 17. Macies T. 19. Orlando J. 16. Ubeda S. 13. Vitale J. 12. Zozaya J. P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Gobetto J. ⚽,
40', Palacio P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Busto L. ↓, Macies T. ↑,
46', Bustamante F. ↓, Lopez T. ↑,
49', Galardi N. 🟨,
52', Marco F. 🟨,
53', Benegas M. 🟨,
67', Giacone J. ↓, Rivarola F. ↑,
76', Marco F. ↓, Vitale J. ↑,
76', Fernandes J. ↓, Blanco P. ↑,
85', Bonfigli M. ↓, Vera J. ↑,
85', Saccone F. ↓, Silva T. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Deportivo Maipú is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Almagro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Deportivo Maipú may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportivo Maipú is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Club Almagro - the odds 3.93 are the expected chance of winning is 23.76%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.04.26	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Maipú	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Deportivo Maipú - Colegiales	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Deportivo Maipú - Godoy Cruz	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo Maipú - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLLL
- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.04.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Club Almagro	6:1 ✺
11.04.26	Club Almagro - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Colegiales - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Club Almagro - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Club Almagro - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.07.25	Club Almagro - Deportivo Maipú	0:1
02.03.25	Deportivo Maipú - Club Almagro	3:1
18.09.22	Club Almagro - Deportivo Maipú	1:0

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