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Current Win Probability
Tristán Suárez 50.9%
Draw 30.5%
Club Almagro 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.3%
29.6%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.2%
26.8%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
8.3%
25%
Tristán Suárez - Club Almagro Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Almagro will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tristán Suárez: 46.4% – 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bigo J. (G) 4. Guillen M. 2. Aguilar B. 6. Baldi A. 3. Henry N. 7. Olguin M. 5. Del Priore N. 8. Sanchez A. 10. Colli K. 9. Alvarez M. 11. Becker D.
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Chamorro S. 2. Cortave M. 6. Busto L. 3. Tolosa N. 8. Asis G. 5. Marchioni J. 10. Bustamante F. 11. Macies T. 7. Orlando J. 9. Belinetz O.
Substitutes
18. Banuera G. 20. Beron J. 14. Fernandez N. 13. Guzman M. 17. Magnotta S. 12. Mendive J. (G) 16. Sanchez N. 15. Trasante J. 19. Veliez A.
19. Bustos J. 20. Canale T. 16. Fernandes J. 14. Flores J. 18. Lopez T. 17. Martinez E. 15. Silcan E. 13. Vitale J. 12. Zozaya J. P. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Busto L. 🟨,
34', Olguin M. ↓, Guzman M. ↑,
36', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Tolosa N. ↓, Silcan E. ↑,
65', Sanchez A. 🟨,
65', Belinetz O. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
67', Sanchez A. ↓, Trasante J. ↑,
67', Becker D. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
67', Colli K. ↓, Veliez A. ↑,
70', Silcan E. 🟨,
83', Alvarez M. ↓, Banuera G. ↑,
90', Orlando J. ↓, Canale T. ↑,
90+1', Bustamante F. ↓, Vitale J. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tristán Suárez won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Tristán Suárez is seen as the favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tristán Suárez won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Tristán Suárez won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).