The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club Almagro 33.2%
Draw 34.9%
Gimnasia y Tiro 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
33.2%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
32%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club Almagro's form might have worsened.
Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnasia y Tiro's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia y Tiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
87.5%
12.5%
Club Almagro - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - under (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Asis G. 2. Cortave M. 6. Negro B. 3. Tolosa N. 8. Salto C. 5. Fernandes J. 10. Bustamante F. 11. Macies T. 7. Dornell T. 9. De La Vega F.
1. Cosentino F. (G) 4. Galetto J. 2. Guanini M. 6. Diaz G. 3. Montoya L. 7. Rocca J. 5. Sivetti F. 8. Banega T. 10. Rinaldi N. 9. Gordillo J. 11. Rojas F.
Substitutes
17. Bustos J. 13. Chamorro S. 16. Laba M. 18. Lopez T. 12. Mangudo F. (G) 19. Martinez E. 20. Orlando J. 15. Silcan E. 14. Vitale J.
15. Aguirre J. 18. Birge M. 17. Capano J. 20. Contin N. 19. Montoya W. 14. Oviedo J. C. 12. Papaleo J. (G) 13. Soto G. 16. Villarreal R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Sivetti F. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Gordillo L. ⚽, Rocca J. (A),
42', Guanini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diaz G. ↓, Soto G. ↑,
46', Fernandes J. ↓, Laba M. ↑,
46', Dornell T. ↓, Orlando J. ↑,
61', Montoya L. 🟨,
65', Macies T. 🟨,
67', Rocca J. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
67', Tolosa N. ↓, Silcan E. ↑,
67', Macies T. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
67', Salto C. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Gordillo L. ⚽, Aguirre J. (A),
77', Rojas F. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
81', Galetto J. 🟨,
90+1', Gordillo L. ↓, Contin N. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).
Almagro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Gimnasia y Tiro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Almagro could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Gimnasia y Tiro - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 26.12%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Gonzalez E. (G) 
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