Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 9

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)

Referee: Barraza J. (Arg)


	Defensores de Belgrano		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	5.75
	1.68	3.2	5.5
	1.65	3.25	5.25
	1.67	3.37	6.48
	1.67	3.1	5.5
	1.72	3.42	5.45
	1.7	3.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)	3.29 ↓ (3.29)	5.62 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
55.3%

Draw
28.2%

Alvarado
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

28.2%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

27.9%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Defensores de Belgrano - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Defensores de Belgrano is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.03.23	Deportivo Flandria - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Defensores Unidos - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
06.03.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Guillermo Brown	4:1 ✺
27.02.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.03.23	Alvarado - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
20.03.23	Deportivo Morón - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Alvarado - Güemes	2:1 ✺
06.03.23	Patronato Parana - Alvarado	6:0 ✺
25.02.23	Alvarado - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.03.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Alvarado	2:1

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