Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 28

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	Guiseley		Basford United

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.6	6.25
	1.36	4.8	6.4
	1.4	4.87	6.89
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.37	4.5	6.79
	1.36	4.8	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)	4.68 ↑ (4.35)	6.37 ↑ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
66.2%

Draw
19.5%

Basford United
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

21.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

20.3%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guiseley's performance.

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Guiseley - Basford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guiseley will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Basford will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Johnson G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Guiseley is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Basford has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Basford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guiseley is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Guiseley to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guiseley won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Guiseley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
04.01.25	Workington - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
01.01.25	Guiseley - Bamber Bridge	3:1 ✺
26.12.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
21.12.24	Guiseley - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Hyde United - Guiseley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWTT
- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
11.01.25	Basford United - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
07.01.25	Mickleover Sports - Basford United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Basford United - Eastleigh	1:4 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
01.01.25	Ilkeston - Basford United	5:0 ✺
28.12.24	Basford United - Worksop Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
01.10.24	Basford United - Guiseley	0:2
23.12.23	Basford United - Guiseley	0:1
19.08.23	Guiseley - Basford United	2:1

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