Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 1

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Braga B		Alverca

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.75
	2.37	3.2	2.71
	2.56	3.21	2.93
	2.38	3.16	2.71
	2.4	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.3)	3.15 ↑ (3.12)	2.77 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga B
38.1%

Draw
29%

Alverca
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.2%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

28.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
63. Beirao R. 31. Bernardo 55. Chissumba 68. Cunha N. 61. Eiro 75. Jean-Marie M. 46. Junior M. 99. Kauan Kelvin 66. Moreira V. (C) 97. Rodrigues D. 73. Ze Pedro	98. Joao Bravim (G) 17. Costa J. 28. Hachadi K. 18. Jesus P. 15. Lucas J. 4. Oliveira A. 35. Pedro Bicalho 8. Pinto G. 95. Sagna P. 14. Varela J. 5. Ze Oliveira (C)
Substitutes
64. D'Avila 72. Ferreira A. 52. Idalecio 98. Machado G. (G) 62. Matos N. 74. Patricio N. 50. Rodrigues D. 80. Vasconcelos 58. Vilela M.	25. Dias R. 9. Freitas R. 44. Gomes C. 22. Hidalgo N. (G) 6. Luiz Miguel 88. Martins D. 16. Pires M. 20. Salomao D. 90. Vitor Bruno

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Braga B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Braga B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Braga B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
28.01.24	Vianense - Braga B	0:2 ✺
19.01.24	Braga B - Fafe	0:0 ✺
12.01.24	Braga B - Felgueiras	3:3 ✺
07.01.24	Sanjoanense - Braga B	2:4 ✺
17.12.23	Braga B - Anadia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTTWW
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
27.01.24	Amora - Alverca	1:3 ✺
20.01.24	Alverca - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Alverca - 1 Dezembro	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Atlético CP - Alverca	3:1 ✺
16.12.23	Alverca - Covilhã	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
06.05.23	Braga B - Alverca	2:0
16.04.23	Alverca - Braga B	2:1

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