Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Tapadinha (Lisbon)


	Atlético CP		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.1	1.85
	3.87	3.46	1.92
	3.98	3.13	1.94	Watch
	3.53	3.3	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.65)	3.25 ↓ (3.51)	1.94 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético CP
23.9%

Draw
28.5%

Felgueiras
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

26.1%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

26.2%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético CP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Atlético CP - Felgueiras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Dias R. (G) 23. Almeida B. 7. Barandas M. 10. Caleb 11. Delcio 18. Dias R. 5. Durand V. 4. Henriques D. 6. Pascoal C. 31. Paulinho 38. Santana C.	25. Felipe Scheibig (G) 30. Feliz 21. Jean Felipe 44. Junior M. 6. Martins H. 78. Moreira V. 18. Pereira G. 7. Rivas M. 5. Rosas P. 9. Santos Teixeira L. 34. Silva A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Pascoal C. ⚽,
67', 🟨,
88', 2 - 0, Caleb ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Atlético CP has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Felgueiras is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Felgueiras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Felgueiras is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético CP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
12.10.25	Atlético CP - 1 Dezembro	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Atlético CP - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Atlético CP - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.25	Lusitano GC - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWW
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
05.10.25	Felgueiras - Feirense	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Penafiel - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.25	Sanjoanense - Felgueiras	0:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.25	Felgueiras - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Felgueiras - Lusitânia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
07.04.24	Felgueiras - Atlético CP	2:0
10.02.24	Atlético CP - Felgueiras	1:1

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