Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 4

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Académica Coimbra		Braga B

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.4	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	2	3.25	3.37
	2.04	3.51	3.71
	1.97	3.32	3.48
	1.96	3.3	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.07)	3.33 ↑ (3.29)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
46.3%

Draw
27.4%

Braga B
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28.4%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Braga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Alves C. (G) 6. Aloisio Neto 13. Amaro D. 17. Henrique L. 79. Silva J. 18. Stitch 42. Tavares A. 11. Teles D. 19. Veiga T. 21. Victor J. 22. Xico	63. Beirao R. 31. Bernardo 55. Chissumba 61. Eiro 75. Jean-Marie M. 46. Junior M. 99. Kauan Kelvin 66. Moreira V. (C) 59. Said Y. 90. Soumare E. H. 73. Ze Pedro
Substitutes
2. Costa D. 75. Costa D. 16. Gomes V. 4. Obiora N. 9. Perea J. 20. Resende J. 91. Santos B. (G) 77. Seco H.	68. Cunha N. 72. Ferreira A. 52. Idalecio 98. Machado G. (G) 62. Matos N. 50. Rodrigues D. 97. Rodrigues D. 80. Vasconcelos 58. Vilela M.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Académica won 4.

Académica is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Braga B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Académica will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Académica won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Académica won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
24.02.24	Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Felgueiras - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	2:2 ✺
21.01.24	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTTTL
- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
24.02.24	Braga B - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Varzim - Braga B	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Braga B - Alverca	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Vianense - Braga B	0:2 ✺
19.01.24	Braga B - Fafe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
16.03.19	Académica Coimbra - Braga B	1:0
11.11.18	Braga B - Académica Coimbra	0:1
21.01.18	Braga B - Académica Coimbra	0:3
12.08.17	Académica Coimbra - Braga B	2:0
24.04.17	Braga B - Académica Coimbra	1:0
04.12.16	Académica Coimbra - Braga B	1:0

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