Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos (Felgueiras)

Referee: Lima R. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Felgueiras		Alverca

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	3.2
	2.2	3	3
	2.4	3	3.1
	2.38	3.08	3.38
	2.34	3	3.27	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.34	3.04	3.23	Watch
	2.4	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.2)	3 ↓ (3.28)	3.17 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
39.7%

Draw
31%

Alverca
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29.5%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	27.3%	45.5%

Felgueiras - Alverca Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Alverca will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alverca: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Figueiredo C. (G) 42. Tavares A. 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. (C) 5. Rosas P. 72. Ferreira G. 6. Moreira V. 8. Landinho 29. Banguera E. 90. Santos J. 95. Fonseca T. 19. Santos Teixeira L.	98. Joao Bravim (G) 16. Pires M. 13. Paulo Eduardo 5. Varela F. 74. Shinga K. 35. Pedro Bicalho (C) 40. Ageu E. 88. Martins D. 7. Brenner Lucas 9. Carter A. 10. Andrezinho
Substitutes
26. Berna 61. Eiro 30. Feliz 20. Moura M. 18. Pereira G. 24. Pinto B. (G) 28. Ribeiro P. 34. Silva A. 21. Veiga D.	3. Alysson 20. Bukia A. 1. Cristian (G) 22. David Bruno 25. Dias R. 18. Eduardo W. 4. Mendonca I. 12. Reinaldo 8. Rosa Alves C.
Coaches
Bento A.	Costa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Ageu E. 🟨,
39', Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Martins D. ⚽, Ageu E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Landinho ↓, Pereira G. ↑,
51', Varela F. 🟥,
57', Andrezinho ↓, Alysson ↑,
59', Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. ↓, Eiro ↑,
60', Moreira V. ↓, Berna ↑,
64', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Dias R. ↑,
64', Carter A. ↓, Mendonca I. ↑,
69', Ferreira G. 🟨,
73', Brenner Lucas 🟨,
82', Santos J. ↓, Ribeiro P. ↑,
84', Brenner Lucas ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
86', Reinaldo 🟨,
88', Rosas P. ↓, Feliz ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Felgueiras won 0.

Recent matches Felgueiras is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alverca is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Felgueiras will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Felgueiras won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Felgueiras won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
18.01.25	Portimonense - Felgueiras	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Felgueiras - Paços de Ferreira	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Oliveirense - Felgueiras	0:3 ✺
22.12.24	Benfica B - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Felgueiras - Vizela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2
18.01.25	Alverca - Porto B	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Alverca - Tondela	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Portimonense - Alverca	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Paços de Ferreira - Alverca	1:3 ✺
14.12.24	Alverca - Chaves	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
17.08.24	Alverca - Felgueiras	1:1
Portuguese Liga 3
20.04.24	Alverca - Felgueiras	1:1
24.02.24	Felgueiras - Alverca	1:1
29.04.23	Alverca - Felgueiras	2:0
09.04.23	Felgueiras - Alverca	1:1
30.04.22	Alverca - Felgueiras	2:1
10.04.22	Felgueiras - Alverca	3:2

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