Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 4

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Varzim SC (Póvoa de Varzim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Varzim		Alverca

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.95	3
	2.29	3.05	3
	2.54	3.03	3.13
	2.37	2.99	2.94
	2.27	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.25)	3 ↑ (2.99)	3 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
38.9%

Draw
30.6%

Alverca
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

31.1%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ricardo (G) 2. Pimenta G. 4. Xandao 45. Rafael Tavares 3. Bonilla J. 6. Ufala S. 23. Sinisterra J. 9. Sangare M. 8. Braga V. 14. Joaozinho 17. Vieira J.	98. Joao Bravim (G) 16. Pires M. 4. Oliveira A. 33. Venaque 90. Vitor Bruno 25. Dias R. 35. Pedro Bicalho 20. Salomao D. 88. Martins D. 21. Harramiz S. 17. Costa J.
Substitutes
49. Areias R. 43. Dias J. 41. Estefano L. (G) 22. Guga 5. Milhazes A. 30. Moreira P. 10. Pereira N. 19. Santos Teixeira L. 89. Souza N.	44. Gomes C. 28. Hachadi K. 22. Hidalgo N. (G) 23. Iago Oliveira 6. Luiz Miguel 8. Pinto G. 95. Sagna P. 14. Varela J. 5. Ze Oliveira

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Recent matches Varzim is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alverca is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Varzim will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 3
25.02.24	Atlético CP - Varzim	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Varzim - Braga B	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Lusitânia - Varzim	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Varzim - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Sanjoanense - Varzim	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWW
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
24.02.24	Felgueiras - Alverca	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Alverca - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Braga B - Alverca	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Amora - Alverca	1:3 ✺
20.01.24	Alverca - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWLWW

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