Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 10

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Alverca		Feirense

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.2	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.23	3.27	3.5
	2.22	3.16	3.35	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.24	3.2	3.26	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.21)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	3.26 (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
42.5%

Draw
29.1%

Feirense
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Feirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	55.6%	33.3%

Alverca - Feirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Feirense will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 13. Paulo Eduardo 5. Varela F. 74. Shinga K. 16. Pires M. 88. Martins D. 40. Ageu E. 35. Pedro Bicalho (C) 36. Thauan Lara 10. Andrezinho 9. Carter A.	24. Costa J. (G) 2. Diga 3. Tassano C. 76. Almeida F. (C) 28. Helder Sa 27. Jocu H. 6. Washington 20. Pereira J. 10. Alves R. 9. Petkov S. 11. Banjaqui Z.
Substitutes
8. Bessa E. 7. Brenner 22. David Bruno 25. Dias R. 89. Lima J. 11. Luiz Miguel 3. Oliveira A. 23. Silva P. (G) 6. Velazquez S.	7. Antunes L. 70. Castro J. 1. Goncalves Mateus P. L. (G) 8. John N. 23. Macedo Z. 39. Quejada K. 4. Shimaga A. 25. Shodipo O. 5. Silva B.
Coaches
Costa V.	Martins V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martins D. ↓, Brenner ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Ageu E. ⚽, Thauan Lara (A),
57', Petkov S. ↓, Quejada K. ↑,
57', Pereira J. ↓, Antunes L. ↑,
58', Helder Sa ↓, Silva B. ↑,
68', Washington ↓, Castro J. ↑,
72', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Dias R. ↑,
73', Carter A. ↓, Lima J. ↑,
75', Diga ↓, Shodipo O. ↑,
77', Andrezinho 🟨,
81', Joao Bravim 🟨,
82', Dias R. 🟨,
85', Andrezinho ↓, Oliveira A. ↑,
88', Thauan Lara ↓, Luiz Miguel ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).

Recent matches Alverca is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Feirense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alverca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alverca will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2
27.10.24	Torreense - Alverca	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Alverca - Pero Pinheiro	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
12.10.24	Alverca - Penafiel	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Mafra - Alverca	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Alverca - Leixões	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTTT
- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
26.10.24	Feirense - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Chaves - Feirense	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Feirense - Vizela	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Oliveirense - Feirense	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Pero Pinheiro - Feirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTTLL

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