Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 8

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Sporting Lisbon B		Alverca

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.32	3.16	3.36
	2.16	3.13	3.14
	2.15	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.07)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	3.18 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon B
42.1%

Draw
29.2%

Alverca
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

30.4%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Pinto Diogo (G) 58. Monteiro D. 66. Alves M. 73. Lamba C. 60. Pedro Bondo 76. Abreu D. 93. Menino M. 70. Cabral D. 88. Tiago Ferreira 79. Marques R. 91. Ribeiro R.	1. Ribeiro L. (G) 13. Bernardo J. 2. Ronaldo 33. Venaque 90. Vitor Bruno 35. Pedro Bicalho 28. Hachadi K. 23. Iago Oliveira 6. Luiz Miguel 17. Costa J. 88. Martins D.
Substitutes
50. Brito A. 78. Couto M. 44. Cruz M. 87. Esteves G. 75. Felix V. 98. Mendonca M. 86. Nel R. 74. Pires G. (G) 94. Silva P.	10. Batalha R. 77. Godinho G. 22. Hidalgo N. (G) 24. Ildefonso T. 9. Jean Sales 18. Jesus P. 8. Pinto G. 76. Ramos D. 20. Salomao D.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Recent matches Sporting Lisbon B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alverca is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alverca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sporting Lisbon B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sporting Lisbon B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting Lisbon B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
30.09.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Caldas	1:3 ✺
17.09.23	1 Dezembro - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Académica Coimbra	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2 ✺
20.08.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLWW
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
30.09.23	1 Dezembro - Alverca	1:4 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Atlético CP - Alverca	1:0 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.23	Alverca - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Covilhã - Alverca	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Alverca - Pero Pinheiro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
15.01.23	Alverca - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1
02.09.22	Sporting Lisbon B - Alverca	1:0
28.01.22	Alverca - Sporting Lisbon B	2:0
23.10.21	Sporting Lisbon B - Alverca	1:2

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