Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 10

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Oliveira Hospital		Pero Pinheiro

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.75	7.5
	1.33	4.5	8
	1.29	4.91	8
	1.28	5.52	8.79
	1.31	4.87	8.95
	1.29	4.7	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.45)	4.88 ↑ (4.31)	8.24 ↑ (6.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveira Hospital
70.2%

Draw
18.7%

Pero Pinheiro
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.6%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

16.2%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveira Hospital has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oliveira Hospital's performance.

Pero Pinheiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oliveira Hospital that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pero Pinheiro than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pero Pinheiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Kadu (G) 11. Bacem N. 16. Carvalho R. 23. David Bras (C) 97. Elvis 88. Gabriel Chagas 8. Grilo P. 7. Isabelinha 4. Nascimento D. 66. Ribeiro D. 3. Simao A.	1. Soares M. (G) 8. Anjos C. 66. Antunes B. 11. Bastos F. 72. Chiquinho 23. Diomande I. 6. Hilario J. 19. Oliveira K. 17. Pinheiro L. 50. Varela F. 7. Ze Maria

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Gabriel Chagas (Pen),
30', David Bras 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Nascimento D. 🟨,
56', Grilo P. 🟨,
57', Chiquinho 🟨,
65', Antunes B. 🟨,
66', Anjos C. ↓, Miguel Verissimo ↑,
66', Ze Maria ↓, Pires D. ↑,
74', Isabelinha ↓, Mucuana Lobo E. J. ↑,
74', Gabriel Chagas ↓, Oliveira M. ↑,
75', Bastos F. ↓, Bissula M. ↑,
85', Ribeiro D. 🟨,
87', Ribeiro D. ↓, Nascimento F. ↑,
87', Bacem N. ↓, Rivaldo ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Grilo P. ⚽,
90+2', David Bras ↓, Gabriel Fornari ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Oliveira Hospital is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pero Pinheiro is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Oliveira Hospital is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Oliveira Hospital won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Oliveira Hospital won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliveira Hospital
Portuguese Liga 3
28.04.24	Caldas - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Oliveira Hospital - Amora	4:0 ✺
30.03.24	1 Dezembro - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Oliveira Hospital - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTWLL
- CA Pero Pinheiro
Portuguese Liga 3
28.04.24	Pero Pinheiro - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	1 Dezembro - Pero Pinheiro	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Pero Pinheiro - Caldas	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Amora - Pero Pinheiro	4:1 ✺
23.03.24	Pero Pinheiro - 1 Dezembro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
18.02.24	Pero Pinheiro - Oliveira Hospital	3:2
07.01.24	Pero Pinheiro - Oliveira Hospital	1:0
17.09.23	Oliveira Hospital - Pero Pinheiro	1:1

Oliveira Hospital - Pero Pinheiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide