The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América MG U20 32%
Draw 28.7%
Bahia U20 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
27.5%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.5%
27.5%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América MG U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Bahia U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América MG U20 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
América MG U20 - Bahia U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG U20 won 2.
América MG U20 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Bahia U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Bahia U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, América MG U20 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home match between the teams, América MG U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Last Results with these Odds
América MG U20 - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.52%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.