Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 12

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	América MG U20		São Paulo U20

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.62
	2.48	3.25	2.73
	2.45	3.19	2.74	Watch
	2.4	3	2.63
	2.4	3.16	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.47)	3.17 ↓ (3.33)	2.67 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América MG U20
37.5%

Draw
28.6%

São Paulo U20
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

27.8%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26.9%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América MG U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

São Paulo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América MG U20 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

América MG U20 - São Paulo U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG U20 won 2.

In recent matches, América MG U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

São Paulo U20 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

São Paulo U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, América MG U20 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, América MG U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América MG U20
Brasileiro U20
14.05.26	América MG U20 - Bahia U20	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Mineiro U20
10.05.26	Atlético Mineiro U20 - América MG U20	2:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
07.05.26	Avaí U20 - América MG U20	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Mineiro U20
02.05.26	América MG U20 - Coimbra U20	2:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
29.04.26	Grêmio U20 - América MG U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWWL
- São Paulo U20
Brasileiro U20
13.05.26	São Paulo U20 - Cruzeiro U20	2:2 ✺
06.05.26	São Paulo U20 - Bahia U20	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	São Paulo U20 - Corinthians U20	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - São Paulo U20	2:2 ✺
16.04.26	Avaí U20 - São Paulo U20	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil U20
09.12.25	América MG U20 - São Paulo U20	1:2
Brasileiro U20
23.07.25	São Paulo U20 - América MG U20	1:0
24.07.24	São Paulo U20 - América MG U20	0:0
Brazilian Copinha
15.01.23	São Paulo U20 - América MG U20	1:3
Brasileiro U20
10.07.22	São Paulo U20 - América MG U20	1:3
30.06.21	América MG U20 - São Paulo U20	1:3
14.10.20	América MG U20 - São Paulo U20	2:1

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