Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 11

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	São Paulo U20		Cruzeiro U20

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.25	2.48
	2.62	3.43	2.55
	2.59	3.24	2.54	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.49	3.26	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.39)	3.26 ↓ (3.46)	2.5 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo U20
35.8%

Draw
27.9%

Cruzeiro U20
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.3%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Cruzeiro U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro U20 than the current prediction. (-1%)

São Paulo U20 - Cruzeiro U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, dos Santos P. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, William ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 1 - 2, Cervi J. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo U20 won 3.

São Paulo U20 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cruzeiro U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

São Paulo U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, São Paulo U20 won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo U20
Brasileiro U20
06.05.26	São Paulo U20 - Bahia U20	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	São Paulo U20 - Corinthians U20	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - São Paulo U20	2:2 ✺
16.04.26	Avaí U20 - São Paulo U20	3:3 ✺
08.04.26	São Paulo U20 - Fluminense U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTTW
- Cruzeiro U20
Brazilian Mineiro U20
09.05.26	Internacional de Minas U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
06.05.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Grêmio U20	5:2 ✺
Brazilian Mineiro U20
02.05.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	3:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
28.04.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copinha
25.01.26	Cruzeiro U20 - São Paulo U20	2:1
Brasileiro U20
16.07.25	Cruzeiro U20 - São Paulo U20	0:1
Brazilian Copinha
18.01.25	São Paulo U20 - Cruzeiro U20	3:1
Brasileiro U20
16.05.24	São Paulo U20 - Cruzeiro U20	3:4
11.03.23	São Paulo U20 - Cruzeiro U20	2:1
31.07.22	Cruzeiro U20 - São Paulo U20	1:1
Brazilian Copinha
19.01.22	Cruzeiro U20 - São Paulo U20	1:2

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