The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América RN 64.2%
Draw 21.1%
Afogados da Ingazeira 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
28.4%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
31.5%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América RN's performance.
Afogados da Ingazeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Afogados da Ingazeira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América RN that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afogados da Ingazeira than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Afogados da Ingazeira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
The game of competitors is shaky now.
América RN could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently América RN have a series of home games.
In this match América RN is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches América RN won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.
Including matches at home between the teams América RN won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.