Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 17

Date: 13 August 2023, Sunday


	América RN		Pouso Alegre

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.25
	1.53	3.4	6.3
	1.53	3.8	6.78
	1.5	3.4	6
	1.53	3.75	6	Watch
	1.54	3.65	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.65)	3.6 ↑ (3.15)	5.99 ↓ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América RN
59.6%

Draw
25.3%

Pouso Alegre
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

29.1%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

20.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

The chances for Pouso Alegre have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-20.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América RN that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pouso Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

América RN - Pouso Alegre Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. América RN will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Pouso Alegre will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Renan (G) 39. Alvaro 23. Buiu 10. Elvinho 33. Ferreira de Amorim A. 3. Jean Pierre (C) 17. Joao Lucas 77. Matheuzinho 16. Rodriguinho 22. Vinicius Paulista 9. Wallace Pernambucano	1. George (G) 11. Alason Carioca 8. Gabriel Galhardo 7. Geovane Meurer 5. Igor Pereira 26. Ingro 23. Matheus Lucas 2. Nando 6. Nathan 3. Rayan (C) 4. Renato Vischi
Substitutes
8. Araujo 1. Bruno (G) 27. Edson Silva 14. Everton Sena 37. Gabriel Silva 32. Guedes 20. Gustavo Ramos 38. Leo Rafael 4. Luan Sales 31. Rael 11. Rafinha 13. Renan Gorne	16. Cesar 20. Claudinho 15. Igor Maduro 14. Joao Vialle 12. Kennedy (G) 13. Luanderson 25. Patrick Carvalho 9. Paulo Henrique 17. Richard 18. Vinicius Boff

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

América RN is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pouso Alegre has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

América RN could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match América RN is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches América RN won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams América RN won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América RN
Brazilian Serie C
06.08.23	Figueirense - América RN	3:0 ✺
30.07.23	América RN - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	São Bernardo - América RN	0:0 ✺
16.07.23	Altos - América RN	1:1 ✺
09.07.23	América RN - Manaus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTTL
- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie C
05.08.23	Pouso Alegre - Manaus	0:1 ✺
30.07.23	CS Alagoano - Pouso Alegre	2:1 ✺
22.07.23	Pouso Alegre - Aparecidense	0:1 ✺
16.07.23	Ypiranga - Pouso Alegre	4:1 ✺
09.07.23	Pouso Alegre - Floresta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
25.09.22	Pouso Alegre - América RN	1:0
18.09.22	América RN - Pouso Alegre	2:0

América RN - Pouso Alegre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide