Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 14

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday


	São Bernardo		América RN

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.72	3.2	4.7
	1.83	3.24	4.79
	1.78	3.1	4
	1.71	3.4	4.85	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.86)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	4.46 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
51.5%

Draw
28.1%

América RN
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.7%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

27.1%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

América RN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América RN than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

São Bernardo - América RN Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (G) 6. Arthur Henrique 20. Bruno Michel 2. Jeferson 9. Joao Carlos 13. Leo Paraiso 7. Lucas Tocantins 10. Matheus Oliveira 4. Matheus Salustiano 8. Rodrigo Souza (C) 17. Romisson	1. Bruno (G) 39. Alvaro 8. Araujo 35. Gilvan 20. Gustavo Ramos 3. Jean Pierre (C) 17. Joao Lucas 27. Luan Sales 77. Matheuzinho 11. Rafinha 16. Rodriguinho
Substitutes
95. Alef 22. Alex Reinaldo 11. Allanzinho 18. Bruno Santos 26. Davi Gabriel 34. Felipe Diogo 97. Gionnotti F. 3. Helder Maciel 21. Hugo Sanchez 14. Itambe 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 33. Kaua Jesus	7. Allef 23. Buiu 10. Elvinho 33. Ferreira de Amorim A. 37. Gabriel Silva 26. Kaio 38. Leo Rafael 19. Paulinho 41. Renan (G) 9. Wallace Pernambucano

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Recent matches São Bernardo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

América RN is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match São Bernardo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
15.07.23	Manaus - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
08.07.23	São Bernardo - Altos	1:1 ✺
01.07.23	São Bernardo - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
25.06.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - São Bernardo	2:2 ✺
19.06.23	São Bernardo - Volta Redonda	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTTTL
- América RN
Brazilian Serie C
16.07.23	Altos - América RN	1:1 ✺
09.07.23	América RN - Manaus	1:2 ✺
03.07.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - América RN	2:0 ✺
28.06.23	CS Alagoano - América RN	0:1 ✺
17.06.23	América RN - Confiança	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.09.22	São Bernardo - América RN	0:1
04.09.22	América RN - São Bernardo	2:0

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