The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América de Propriá 41.3%
Draw 33.5%
Falcon 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
29.2%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
27.8%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América de Propriá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América de Propriá's form might have worsened.
Falcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Propriá than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América de Propriá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (-2%)
América de Propriá - Falcon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Davi ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 🟥,
83', 🟥,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8)
Recent performances by América de Propriá have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Falcon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
América de Propriá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
América de Propriá is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Propriá won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home match between the teams, América de Propriá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Watch
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