Match Info

Stars League - Round 37

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday


	Amanat Baghdad		Al-Gharraf

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.05	2.45
	2.68	2.92	2.52
	2.8	2.96	2.51	Watch
	2.63	2.88	2.5
	2.68	2.94	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.8)	2.95 ↓ (2.96)	2.5 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amanat Baghdad
33.4%

Draw
30.5%

Al-Gharraf
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

30.9%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

29.4%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amanat Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Al-Gharraf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amanat Baghdad than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Amanat Baghdad - Al Gharraf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Hindawi T. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Dakhel H. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 2, Kareem J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 1 - 3, Dakhel H. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Amanat Baghdad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Al Gharraf	8	1	2	5	4:12	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amanat Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
19.05.26	Diyala - Amanat Baghdad	1:4 ✺
15.05.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Kahraba	0:1 ✺
11.05.26	Al-Karkh - Amanat Baghdad	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Najaf - Amanat Baghdad	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Qasim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLTT
- Al-Gharraf SC
Iraqi Premier League
19.05.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Gharraf	2:2 ✺
15.05.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Karkh	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Gharraf	1:0 ✺
06.05.26	Al-Gharraf - Diyala	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Al Mosul - Al-Gharraf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
26.01.26	Al-Gharraf - Amanat Baghdad	3:2

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