Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Amarante Stadium (Amarante)


	Amarante		Leixões

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.9	2.1
	3.07	3.49	2.2
	3.55	2.92	2.16	Watch
	3.19	3.42	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.42)	3.18 ↓ (3.49)	2.15 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarante
28.1%

Draw
29%

Leixões
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

26.2%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

25%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leixões could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Amarante - Leixões Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duarte M. (G) 6. Almeida F. 4. Filipe J. 12. Lawrence 3. Mendes F. 20. Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 28. Pedro R. 10. Rodrigues D. 99. Roger 23. Saint-Louis J. 64. Vila D.	51. Stefanovic I. (G) 11. Agra S. 22. Araujo C. 12. Assuncao J. 3. Figueiredo L. 6. Paulinho 77. Paulinho 4. Rafael Santos 30. Serif N. 91. Valente R. 7. Werton

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', 🟨,
26', 🟨,
34', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 🟨,
50', 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, ⚽,
61', 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
96', 🟨,
99', 🟨,
110', 🟨,
111', 1 - 2, ⚽,
120+3', 🟨,
120+3', 🟨,
120+3', 🟥,
120+5', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Amarante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Leixões is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Amarante won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Portuguese Liga 3
10.10.25	Fafe - Amarante	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Braga B - Amarante	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Amarante - São João de Ver	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Amarante - União de Santarém	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.25	Marco 09 - Amarante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTWL
- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
05.10.25	Leixões - Sporting Lisbon B	0:4 ✺
26.09.25	Vizela - Leixões	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Naval - Leixões	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.25	Leixões - Farense	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Feirense - Leixões	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
21.10.18	Leixões - Amarante	3:1

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