Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 22

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Amarante		Merelinense

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5
	1.45	3.85	5.2
	1.56	3.78	6.02
	1.51	4.05	5.65
	1.51	4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.46)	3.92 ↓ (4.15)	5.45 ↓ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarante
60.2%

Draw
23.2%

Merelinense
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

21.8%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20.4%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Merelinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amarante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merelinense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs) and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Amarante is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Merelinense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Amarante is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Amarante to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amarante won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.03.23	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Amarante	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Amarante - Desportivo Monção	4:2 ✺
19.02.23	Amarante - Bragança	5:0 ✺
12.02.23	Dumiense - Amarante	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Amarante - Pevidem	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWTW
- Merelinense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.03.23	Merelinense - Bragança	3:0 ✺
26.02.23	Dumiense - Merelinense	1:0 ET ✺
19.02.23	Merelinense - Pevidem	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Maria da Fonte - Merelinense	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Merelinense - Brito	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Merelinense - Amarante	1:1

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