The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amarante 69.7%
Draw 19%
Desportivo Monção 11.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.6%
18.9%
11.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.5%
18.1%
10.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
The chances for Desportivo Monção have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportivo Monção than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs) and 13 in the zone Relegation).
Amarante is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Desportivo Monção is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Amarante is absolute favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Amarante won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.