The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juventude de Pedras Salgadas 26.6%
Draw 29.2%
Amarante 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.5%
27.9%
49.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22%
27.3%
50.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude de Pedras Salgadas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amarante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude de Pedras Salgadas than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amarante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs)).
Recent matches Pedras Salgadas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Amarante in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Amarante is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Pedras Salgadas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.