Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)

Referee: Narciso A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Portimonense		Tondela

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.25
	2.95	3.10	2.15
	2.95	3	2.35
	3.08	3.1	2.54
	3.01	3.25	2.36	Watch
	3	3	2.5
	3.03	3.16	2.37	Watch
	2.9	3.05	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.12)	3.08 ↓ (3.48)	2.36 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
31%

Draw
29.9%

Tondela
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

26.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

26.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Portimonense - Tondela Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tondela will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dudu (G) 73. Junior M. 6. Neves S. 3. Jarleysom 2. Edney 15. Xavier 8. Pancadas Casimiro J. D. 17. Reis J. (C) 18. Mamede 19. Cassama M. 10. Nakajima S.	28. Carlao (G) 15. Carraca 4. Marques C. 6. Farru 12. Ze Ricardo 8. Tavares H. (C) 37. Mateus Sarara 20. Felix H. 26. van der Heide A. 19. Tomane 7. Cascavel
Substitutes
70. Aguas G. 21. da Rocha Y. 7. Djassi D. 80. Favero F. 4. Italo Cabelinho 88. Jader 36. Thauan Lara 5. Tunguliiadi G. 93. Welinton Junior 65. Wellington Santana (G) 38. Wermeson 9. Yepie Yepie S.	5. Afonso J. 22. Almeida B. 2. Bebeto 1. Canizares L. (G) 14. Huarte X. 9. Joao Lima 3. Kamga I. 23. Medina B. 21. Ramalho G. 11. Richarllyson 13. Sithole Y. 77. Tiago Dias
Coaches
Martins da Costa D. A.	Costa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, van der Heide A. ⚽, Tomane (A),
39', Mateus Sarara 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Junior M. ↓, da Rocha Y. ↑,
46', Pancadas Casimiro J. D. ↓, Djassi D. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Mateus Sarara ⚽,
54', Edney ↓, Aguas G. ↑,
55', 🟨,
63', Tavares H. ↓, Huarte X. ↑,
64', van der Heide A. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
64', Mamede ↓, Wermeson ↑,
72', Cascavel 🟨,
75', Tomane ↓, Joao Lima ↑,
75', Felix H. ↓, Sithole Y. ↑,
76', Cassama M. ↓, Welinton Junior ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Portimonense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Tondela	6	3	0	3	7:6	1	9
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4:6	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
06.09.26	Leiria - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Portimonense - Leixões	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Benfica B - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Portimonense - Vizela	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Penafiel - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LLTWW
- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
05.09.26	Tondela - Porto B	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Leiria - Tondela	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Tondela - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Leixões - Tondela	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Tondela - Amarante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
27.04.25	Portimonense - Tondela	2:2
15.12.24	Tondela - Portimonense	2:0
Liga Portugal
30.01.22	Portimonense - Tondela	1:2
22.08.21	Tondela - Portimonense	0:3
06.03.21	Portimonense - Tondela	3:0
23.10.20	Tondela - Portimonense	1:0
01.02.20	Portimonense - Tondela	0:1

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