Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Amarante Stadium (Amarante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Amarante		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.62	3.75	4.75
	1.57	4	5.92
	1.59	3.83	5.66	Watch
	1.53	3.78	5.51
	1.62	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.6)	3.79 ↑ (3.78)	5.27 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarante
58.2%

Draw
24.3%

Vilaverdense
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

24.6%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

24.3%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Amarante - Vilaverdense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
65. Figueiredo D. (G) 99. Bright 11. Buby 4. Filipe J. 17. Filipe R. 8. Helder Pedro 42. Iroanya E. 18. Okoli F. 10. Semedo K. 64. Vila D. 12. Zangre A.	82. Cajo (G) 18. Barbosa E. 2. Coelho V. 17. Ibrahim A. 14. Jota R. 8. Madaleno D. 9. Neemias 44. Neto L. 5. Sacko M. 70. Yemi 4. Zuzarte G.
Substitutes
30. Antunes Tiago C. J. 9. Cardoso F. 80. Dinho 13. Flores R. (G) 16. Leandro M. 2. Ribeiro O. 20. Silva A. 7. Sousa C.	10. Alves H. 54. Bagarolo H. 13. Camara B. 28. Claudio I. 20. Dica 33. Monteiro D. 77. Robertson D. 99. Santos D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Iroanya E. 🟨,
23', Sacko M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Filipe R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Iroanya E. ↓, Alves D. ↑,
50', Coelho V. 🟨,
60', Helder Pedro ↓, Sousa C. ↑,
63', Barbosa E. ↓, Dica ↑,
70', Filipe R. ↓, Ribeiro O. ↑,
73', Zuzarte G. 🟨,
76', Zuzarte G. ↓, Alves H. ↑,
81', Coelho V. 🟨,
88', Semedo K. ↓, Antunes Tiago C. J. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Amarante is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vilaverdense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amarante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Amarante is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Amarante - Lajense	6:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Fafe - Amarante	4:1 ✺
29.09.24	Braga B - Amarante	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Amarante - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.09.24	Fafe - Amarante	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTWW
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Vilaverdense - Braga B	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Lusitânia - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Paredes - Vilaverdense	3:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
15.09.24	Vilaverdense - Varzim	1:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.09.24	Dumiense - Vilaverdense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLW

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