Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 22

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Amazonas		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	3.2	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.55
	2.52	2.88	2.98
	2.62	2.98	3.11
	2.9	2.88	2.62
	2.44	2.89	3.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.99)	2.91 ↑ (2.83)	2.94 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
36%

Draw
32.2%

América Mineiro
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

33.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

31.1%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Amazonas - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 9 - 60%). América MG will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amazonas: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Amazonas (votes: 6 - 66.7%). América MG (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Amazonas (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - América MG (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Amazonas (votes: 7 - 63.6%). América MG (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Lopes (G) 30. Castrillon N. 14. Ivan Alvarino 57. Diego Borges 6. Fabiano (C) 17. Guilherme Xavier 21. Erick Varao 10. Rafael Tavares 7. Ramirez K. 9. Luan Silva 19. Henrique Almeida	27. Cassio Meneses (G) 26. Maguinho 45. Ricardo Silva (C) 18. Julio Cesar 3. Lucao 29. Paulinho 15. Kaua Diniz 42. Miqueias 7. Miguelito 9. Willian Bigode 22. Figueiredo
Substitutes
15. Akapo C. 35. Digao 94. Durmisi R. 11. Kiko 33. Pedro Caracoci (G) 55. Philippe Guimaraes 3. Rafael Vitor 8. Rodriguez A. 26. Victor Hugo 27. Wendell 20. William Barbio 22. Zabala D.	39. Arthur Sousa 31. Dalberson (G) 5. Elizari F. 50. Guilherme Pato 96. Labandeira F. 23. Mariano 10. Ortiz C. 4. Rafa Barcelos 17. Stenio 55. Thallyson 40. Yago Souza
Coaches
Marcio Zanardi	Alberto Valentim

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Cassio Meneses 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Ramirez K. (Pen),
39', Castrillon N. 🟨,
45+4', Ramirez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Julio Cesar ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
47', Ivan Alvarino 🟨,
50', Figueiredo 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Rafael Tavares ⚽, Luan Silva (A),
60', Willian Bigode ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
65', Kaua Diniz 🟨,
69', Miguelito ↓, Stenio ↑,
69', Kaua Diniz ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
69', Rafael Tavares ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
70', Ramirez K. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
76', Arthur Sousa 🟨,
76', Castrillon N. ↓, Akapo C. ↑,
77', Henrique Almeida ↓, Philippe Guimaraes ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Figueiredo (Pen),
83', Miqueias ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
86', Guilherme Xavier 🟨,
87', Guilherme Xavier ↓, Digao ↑,
90+4', Lucao 🟨,
90+8', Erick Varao 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 2, Figueiredo (Pen),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Amazonas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

América MG is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Amazonas: Akapo C. (Inactive) Alyson (Inactive) Bruno Ramires (Inactive) Dener (Inactive) Fernando Neto (Inactive) Gabriel Domingos (Inactive) Kiko (Inactive) Robertinho (Inactive) Torres D. (Yellow Cards) Vasquez L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in América MG: Ale (Knee Injury) Dalbert (Inactive) Fabinho (Inactive) Marlon (Injury) Samuel (Inactive) Yago Santos (Inactive)

There are questionable in Amazonas: Thomas Luciano (Inactive) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)

There are questionable in América MG: Felipe Amaral (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

América Mineiro - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.47%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
08.08.25	Ferroviária - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Amazonas - Goiás	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Coritiba - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
23.07.25	Amazonas - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Amazonas - Botafogo SP	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTTTW
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
09.08.25	América Mineiro - Remo	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Botafogo SP - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense	2:2 ✺
23.07.25	Cuiabá - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
20.07.25	América Mineiro - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
17.04.25	América Mineiro - Amazonas	3:1
05.11.24	Amazonas - América Mineiro	1:0
20.07.24	América Mineiro - Amazonas	0:0

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