Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 17

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Referee: Gomes V. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Amazonas		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.88	3.7	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.25
	2.28	2.88	3.4
	2.38	2.93	3.63
	1.43	3.88	8.76	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.5
	2.3	2.96	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.17)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)	4.24 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
45%

Draw
32.1%

Botafogo SP
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29.6%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Amazonas - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Renan (G) 15. Akapo C. 8. Bruno Ramires 14. Rafael Vitor 6. Fabiano (C) 11. Torres J. 5. Vasquez L. 30. Kiko 7. Ramirez K. 29. Torres D. 21. Erick Varao	1. Victor Souza (G) 2. Jeferson 4. Rafael Milhorim 3. Ericson 6. Risso G. 5. Gabriel Bispo 8. Abdulai S. 7. Jonathan Cafu (C) 10. Marquinho 11. Jefferson Nem 9. Carrillo R.
Substitutes
3. Diego Borges 2. Durmisi R. 26. Gabriel Domingos 17. Guilherme Xavier 19. Henrique Almeida 57. Iverton 1. Pedro Caracoci (G) 77. Robertinho 20. Vagner 13. Viera S. 22. Zabala D.	19. Alexandre Jesus 18. Dramisino A. 16. Jean Victor 12. Joao Carlos (G) 20. Matheus Barbosa 14. Matheus Costa 21. Matheus Regis 17. Robinho 13. Wallison 15. Wesley Dias
Coaches
Marcio Zanardi	Angeli R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Ramirez K. ⚽,
41', Torres D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Abdulai S. ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,
46', Torres D. ↓, Henrique Almeida ↑,
46', Kiko ↓, Gabriel Domingos ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Ramirez K. ⚽,
60', 3 - 0, Gabriel Domingos ⚽, Torres J. (A),
61', Risso G. ↓, Jean Victor ↑,
61', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Robinho ↑,
62', Carrillo R. ↓, Alexandre Jesus ↑,
68', Vasquez L. ↓, Robertinho ↑,
74', Erick Varao ↓, Guilherme Xavier ↑,
77', Renan 🟨,
81', Jefferson Nem ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
83', Ramirez K. ↓, Vagner ↑,
90+3', Dramisino A. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Amazonas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Botafogo SP has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Botafogo SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Amazonas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson (Inactive) Castrillon N. (Inactive) Iverton (Inactive) Joao Lopes (Inactive) Rafael Tavares (Inactive)

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Maciel L. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Amazonas: Diego Borges (Inactive) Jackson (Inactive) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)

There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive) Matheus Barbosa (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Amazonas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
15.07.25	Cuiabá - Amazonas	3:1 ✺
05.07.25	Amazonas - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
29.06.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Amazonas - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Criciúma - Amazonas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLTWL
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
14.07.25	Botafogo SP - Volta Redonda	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
30.06.25	Cuiabá - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
20.06.25	Botafogo SP - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
13.06.25	Paysandu - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.10.24	Amazonas - Botafogo SP	0:1
12.07.24	Botafogo SP - Amazonas	0:1

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