The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América Mineiro 37.9%
Draw 30.6%
Athletico Paranaense 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
29.7%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
28.8%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.3%
7.7%
0%
América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 77.8% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - América MG (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): América Mineiro will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. América MG (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Dalberson (G) 23. Mariano 3. Lucao (C) 18. Julio Cesar 6. Marlon 42. Miqueias 5. Elizari F. 50. Guilherme Pato 7. Miguelito 96. Labandeira F. 11. Heber
23. Santos (G) 45. Belezi 33. Aguirre Tabares J. F. 3. Leo (C) 14. Moraes K. 5. Felipinho 88. Patrick 10. Zapelli B. 61. Leo Derik 17. Mendoza S. 9. Viveros K.
Substitutes
39. Arthur Sousa 51. Braga H. 36. Dalbert 22. Figueiredo 21. Jhosefer 1. Matheus Mendes (G) 10. Ortiz C. 14. Rafa Barcelos 17. Stenio 9. Willian Bigode 40. Yago Souza 52. Yan A.
27. Alan Kardec 65. Arthur Dias 29. Benavidez G. 63. Diogo Riquelme 8. Giuliano 28. Habraao 11. Isaac 57. Joao Cruz 21. Leozinho 1. Mycael (G) 70. Renan Peixoto 30. Tevis
Coaches
Moreira E.
Hellmann O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Viveros K. ⚽, Mendoza S. (A),
41', Mariano 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Labandeira F. ↓, Stenio ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Marlon ⚽, Miqueias (A),
64', Leo Derik ↓, Arthur Dias ↑,
64', Felipinho ↓, Diogo Riquelme ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Viveros K. ⚽,
71', Heber ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
71', Guilherme Pato ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
71', Marlon ↓, Dalbert ↑,
74', Diogo Riquelme 🟨,
80', Zapelli B. ↓, Isaac ↑,
86', Lucao 🟨,
86', Moraes K. ↓, Benavidez G. ↑,
90+7', Willian Bigode (Pen),
90+7', 2 - 2, Willian Bigode ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
América MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Inactive)
Cauan Barros
(Yellow Cards)
Fabinho
(Inactive)
Figueiredo
(Inactive)
Guilherme Pato
(Inactive)
Kaua Diniz
(Red Card)
Renato Marques
(Inactive)
Ricardo Silva
(Injury)
Samuel
(Inactive)
There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac
(Inactive)
Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Madson
(Inactive)
There are questionable in América MG: Arthur Sousa
(Injury)
There are questionable in Athletico PR: Dudu Marques
(Inactive)
Luiz Fernando
(Injury)
Palacios H.
(Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, América MG won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).
Brazil
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Dalberson (G) 
Elizari F. 
Miguelito 
Labandeira F. 
Aguirre Tabares J. F. 
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