Match Info

Serie B - Round 16

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)

Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cuiabá		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.1	5	Watch
	1.80	3.20	4.33
	1.82	3.15	4.75
	1.89	3.2	5.32
	1.79	3.35	4.84
	1.82	3.3	4.9
	1.84	3.08	4.97	Watch
	1.83	3.15	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.94)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	4.85 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
51.3%

Draw
29.4%

América Mineiro
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

30%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

29.5%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	9.5%	14.3%

Cuiabá - América Mineiro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cuiabá will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Marcelo Carne (G) 30. Raul 13. Joao Basso 4. Vitor Mendes 33. Alan Empereur (C) 6. Marlon 8. Pepe 5. Calebe Costa 53. Weverson 41. Kauan Cristtyan 29. Vinicius Peixoto	1. Gustavo (G) 42. Jhonny 45. Ricardo Silva (C) 26. Manoel 29. Dalbert 21. Eduardo Person 8. Felipe Amaral 10. Yago Souza 77. Segovia M. 9. Willian Bigode 7. Gabriel Barros
Substitutes
57. Aiyran 20. David Miguel 14. Eric Melo 34. Jean (G) 1. Joao Carlos (G) 36. Lorenzo 91. Luis Soares 97. Luiz Otavio 23. Marcos Junior 37. Raylan 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 17. Victor Barbara	2. Emerson Santos 23. Everton Brito 17. Gonzalo Mastriani 39. Italo G. 93. Jorge Jimenez 30. Montes L. 20. Paulo Victor 4. Rafa Barcelos 19. William (G)
Coaches
Barros E.	Umberto Louzer

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vitor Mendes ↓, Rodrigo Rodrigues ↑,
46', Dalbert ↓, Montes L. ↑,
60', Felipe Amaral 🟨,
61', Weverson ↓, Marcos Junior ↑,
61', Marlon ↓, Eric Melo ↑,
66', Felipe Amaral ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
74', Vinicius Peixoto ↓, Aiyran ↑,
79', Pepe ↓, David Miguel ↑,
82', Willian Bigode ↓, Gonzalo Mastriani ↑,
82', Yago Souza ↓, Everton Brito ↑,
89', Eric Melo 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Aiyran ⚽,
90+5', Eduardo Person ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
90+8', Umberto Louzer 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 3.

Cuiabá is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

América MG is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cuiabá is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y. (Inactive) Eliel (Hand Injury) Gabriel Knesowitsch (Yellow Cards) Gabriel Knesowitsch (Red Card) Joao Araujo (Inactive) Lorenzo (Inactive) Mateus Santos (Inactive)

There will not play in América MG: Cassio Meneses (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Hernades (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in América MG: Heitor (Injury) Wesley (Muscle Injury) Yago Santos (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47
19	America MG	32	4	5	23	21:53	-32	17

Last Results with these Odds

América Mineiro - the odds 4.2 are the expected chance of winning is 22.12%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
25.06.26	Cuiabá - Londrina	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Avaí - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Cuiabá - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
09.06.26	Ponte Preta - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Cuiabá - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWWW
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
27.06.26	Operário Ferroviario - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
23.06.26	América Mineiro - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
16.06.26	Fortaleza - América Mineiro	0:3 ✺
08.06.26	América Mineiro - Atlético Goianiense	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	Juventude - América Mineiro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.11.25	América Mineiro - Cuiabá	1:1
23.07.25	Cuiabá - América Mineiro	3:1
Brazilian Serie A
15.09.23	Cuiabá - América Mineiro	2:2
07.05.23	América Mineiro - Cuiabá	1:2
28.09.22	Cuiabá - América Mineiro	2:1
04.06.22	América Mineiro - Cuiabá	2:1
02.10.21	Cuiabá - América Mineiro	0:2

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