Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 13

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ypiranga		Paysandu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.10	2.75
	2.30	3.05	2.85	Watch
	2.53	3.45	2.76
	2.25	3.32	3.08	Watch
	2.45	3.35	2.55
	2.46	3.35	2.74	Watch
	2.35	3.15	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.32)	3.25 ↑ (3.05)	2.77 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
38.6%

Draw
28.2%

Paysandu
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

29.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

29.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Ypiranga - Paysandu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Gabriel Werner (G) 2. Cleiton 27. Dionisio 21. Leo Gobo 79. Leo Rafael 15. Mago 80. Marcelinho 6. Nicolas 43. Ramon Vinicius 9. Renan Gorne 3. Willian Gomes (C)	12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 31. Bonifazi F. 14. Bruno Bispo 8. Caio Mello 2. Edilson 98. Juninho 75. Kleiton Pego 4. larley Brito 10. Marcinho (C) 39. Pedro Henrique 19. Thayllon
Substitutes
41. Adilson Junior 20. Dudu 12. Edu (G) 7. Felipe Ferreira 28. Gustavo Simoes 33. Kauan Bruno 85. Lucas Maticoli (G) 16. Lucas Ramos 4. Reinaldo 5. Rian 11. Vini Charopem 22. Walce	23. Brian Macapa 5. Henrico 9. Italo Carvalho 1. Jean Drosny (G) 94. Kaua Hinkel 26. Libonati 99. Lucas Cardoso 77. Luciano Taboca 20. Matheus Capixaba
Coaches
Gabardo Junior	Junior Rocha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Nicolas 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Thayllon ↓, Lucas Cardoso ↑,
59', Leo Rafael ↓, Felipe Ferreira ↑,
70', Kleiton Pego ↓, Kaua Hinkel ↑,
72', Marcelinho ↓, Dudu ↑,
72', Dionisio ↓, Lucas Ramos ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Renan Gorne ⚽,
76', Renan Gorne 🟨,
78', Bonifazi F. ↓, Luciano Taboca ↑,
78', Caio Mello ↓, Henrico ↑,
78', Juninho ↓, Italo Carvalho ↑,
83', Mago ↓, Walce ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Paysandu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ypiranga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
28.06.26	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Ypiranga	0:1 ✺
15.06.26	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Internacional de Limeira - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Volta Redonda - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTLL
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
27.06.26	Paysandu - Santa Cruz Recife	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Maranhão - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Paysandu - Internacional de Limeira	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
07.06.26	Paysandu - Anápolis	4:0 ✺
04.06.26	Anápolis - Paysandu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
11.05.23	Ypiranga - Paysandu	5:0
30.04.22	Paysandu - Ypiranga	1:1
16.01.21	Ypiranga - Paysandu	1:0
13.12.20	Paysandu - Ypiranga	2:1
28.06.19	Paysandu - Ypiranga	0:0
27.04.19	Ypiranga - Paysandu	0:1

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