Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 11

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)


	Barra Santa Catarina		Amazonas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	2.85	4.33
	1.88	2.82	4.35	Watch
	1.91	2.96	5.07
	2.05	2.53	5.38	Watch
	1.91	2.75	4.2
	1.85	2.78	4.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.1)	2.78 ↓ (2.8)	4.72 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barra Santa Catarina
47.8%

Draw
32.8%

Amazonas
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

32%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

30.9%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barra Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barra Santa Catarina's performance.

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amazonas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amazonas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barra Santa Catarina - Amazonas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ewerton (G) 11. Cleo Silva 6. Da Rocha 4. Everton Alemao 2. Fabio 3. Jean Pierre 8. Matheus Barbosa 7. Natan Costa 9. Saymon 5. Vava Franca 10. Warley Jr	1. Joao Lopes (G) 28. Gabriel Cipriano 4. Iury 2. Leo Coelho 3. Marcondes 18. Mena Y. 5. Panzariello I. 6. Rafael Furlan 10. Rafael Tavares (C) 9. Ronaldo 20. Schiappacasse N.
Substitutes
13. Alves Zunto K. 14. Diniz T. 17. Dionisio F. 18. Elvinho 12. Fabian Volpi (G) 15. Joao Vinicius 19. Marcelinho 21. Matheuzinho 20. Nicolas 16. Pablo Gabriel 23. Renan Bernabe 24. Vinicius Popo	13. Alyson 12. Axel Lopes (G) 30. Bernardo Daciolo 19. Castro P. 21. Graffin A. 8. Jhonny Lucas 17. Marcel Scalese 15. Raylison Pacheco 11. Vinicius Leite
Coaches
Franco B.	Rodrigo Santana

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Cleo Silva 🟨,
33', Gabriel Cipriano 🟨,
38', Joao Lopes 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Ronaldo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Saymon ↓, Nicolas ↑,
46', Fabio ↓, Vinicius Popo ↑,
46', Natan Costa ↓, Elvinho ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Warley Jr ⚽,
64', Schiappacasse N. ↓, Marcel Scalese ↑,
64', Gabriel Cipriano ↓, Bernardo Daciolo ↑,
72', Mena Y. ↓, Jhonny Lucas ↑,
73', Da Rocha ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
83', Warley Jr ↓, Renan Bernabe ↑,
90+3', Saymon 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Barra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Barra is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Barra FC: 2.7%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Serie C
15.06.26	Ferroviária - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
01.06.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Guarani	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Anápolis - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	Corinthians - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLTL
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie C
13.06.26	Amazonas - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Guarani - Amazonas	5:0 ✺
24.05.26	Amazonas - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Floresta - Amazonas	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	Amazonas - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL

Barra Santa Catarina - Amazonas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide