Match Info

1. Lig - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Diyarbakir Stadium (Diyarbakır)

Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Amed SK		İstanbulspor

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6	Watch
	1.41	4.56	6.18
	1.51	4.27	5.58
	1.61	4.04	4.77	Watch
	1.46	4.54	6.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.61)	4.38 ↑ (4.04)	5.72 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amed SK
62.5%

Draw
21.2%

İstanbulspor
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

23%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

22.6%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amed SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Amed SK - İstanbulspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Amed SK will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Amed SK will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kardesler E. (G) 7. Ucar M. 21. Yesil M. 15. Gezer U. 3. Kaldirim H. A. 5. Kurt S. 35. Kara A. 11. Traore A. 91. Saba D. 27. Moreno D. 45. Diagne M.	1. Dogan I. (C) 21. Duhaney D. 84. Yilmaz A. S. 24. Uzunhan E. 3. Aksu D. 11. Aydin D. 6. Vorobjovas M. 10. Loshaj F. 99. Sol M. 9. Gultekin E. 66. Mamadou M.
Substitutes
33. Afena-Gyan F. 65. Aydin O. 14. Bassan E. 10. Cekdar O. 47. Demirtas K. 77. Hanalp C. 22. Kaya B. (G) 70. Koc A. 8. Kouyate C. 17. Poko A.	30. Cham A. 58. Dagasan M. 83. Dayakli I. 52. Duymaz O. F. 40. Erdal I. A. 32. Mermerci D. 20. Sahan O. 14. Sahin D. 31. Sandikci E. 28. Tutar A. (G)
Coaches
Kaloglu S.	Avci M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Saba D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kara A. ↓, Poko A. ↑,
46', Traore A. ↓, Afena-Gyan F. ↑,
48', Poko A. 🟨,
62', Sol M. ↓, Sahan O. ↑,
70', Sahan O. 🟨,
73', Moreno D. ↓, Bassan E. ↑,
82', Bassan E. ↓, Cekdar O. ↑,
83', Gultekin E. ↓, Dayakli I. ↑,
89', Mamadou M. ↓, Sandikci E. ↑,
90+3', Kaldirim H. A. 🟨,
90+5', Kurt S. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Amed is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Amed: Sapan V. (Suspended)

There will not play in İstanbulspor: Vardar B. (Illness)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amed won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Amed won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amed SK
Turkish First League
20.10.25	Serik Belediyespor - Amed SK	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Amed SK - Keçiörengücü	4:1 ✺
29.09.25	Vanspor - Amed SK	3:0 ✺
25.09.25	Amed SK - Sarıyer	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Sakaryaspor - Amed SK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL
- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish First League
20.10.25	İstanbulspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Igdirspor - İstanbulspor	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	İstanbulspor - Boluspor	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Erokspor - İstanbulspor	5:0 ✺
19.09.25	İstanbulspor - Çorum	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
25.01.25	İstanbulspor - Amed SK	1:0
19.08.24	Amed SK - İstanbulspor	0:1
Club Friendly
02.08.17	Amed SK - İstanbulspor	0:1
Turkish Second League White Group
05.02.17	İstanbulspor - Amed SK	1:0
25.09.16	Amed SK - İstanbulspor	1:0

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