Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 3

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Licorne (Amiens)

Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports France 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, Free, myCANAL
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Russia	Okko Sport
Spain	beIN Sports
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Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
World	Fanatiz


	Amiens		Lorient

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.85
	4.2	3.5	1.83
	4.58	3.58	1.85
	4.34	3.6	1.85	Watch
	4	3.6	1.8
	4.2	3.68	1.85	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (3.1)	3.53 ↑ (3.21)	1.83 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amiens
22.2%

Draw
26.6%

Lorient
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29.1%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

28.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amiens's form might have worsened.

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorient's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amiens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorient, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Amiens - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gurtner R. (C) 14. Corchia S. 34. Bakayoko S. 2. Fofana M. 19. Vita R. 20. Kaiboue K. 25. Gene O. 7. Leautey A. 27. Lutin R. 18. Mubundu Manitu M. 9. Mafouta L.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 2. Igor Silva 5. Mendy F. 3. Talbi M. 44. Yongwa D. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 21. Ponceau J. 6. Abergel L. (C) 10. Pagis P. 22. Kroupi E. J. 27. Tosin A.
Substitutes
29. Boya F. 99. Carroll A. 39. Chabane A. 22. Dao E. 45. Fofana I. 16. Sauvage A. (G) 94. Touho M.	32. Adjei N. 62. Avom A. 66. James I. 24. Kalulu G. 11. Le Bris T. 1. Leroy B. (G) 28. Soumano S.
Coaches
Daf O.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Bakayoko S. ⚽, Kaiboue K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Mubundu Manitu M. ↓, Carroll A. ↑,
56', Lutin R. ↓, Boya F. ↑,
61', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
61', Pagis P. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
68', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
90', Kaiboue K. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,

Preview

Amiens is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lorient is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lorient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lorient will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
23.08.24	Bastia - Amiens	1:0 ✺
16.08.24	Amiens - Red Star	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Dunkerque - Amiens	5:1 ✺
21.07.24	Anderlecht - Amiens	6:2 ✺
17.07.24	Amiens - Francs Borains	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
24.08.24	Lorient - Grenoble	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Martigues - Lorient	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Guingamp - Lorient	1:1 ✺
07.08.24	Nantes - Lorient	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Lorient - Angers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTTW

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