Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dunkerque		Amiens

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.35
	1.83	3.61	4.71
	1.00	30.00	26.92	Watch
	1.78	3.68	4.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.73)	8.86 ↑ (3.57)	9.01 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
73.3%

Draw
13.5%

Amiens
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.3%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

26%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dunkerque's performance.

Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amiens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunkerque that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amiens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	7.7%	23.1%

Dunkerque - Amiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Amiens (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 50%). Amiens (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Niflore M. (G) 2. Georgen A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 23. Sasso V. 21. Kondo G. 6. Diong P. 7. Sylvestre E. 8. Sekongo A. 10. Essimi M. 77. Zossou A. 9. Robinet T.	40. Bernardoni P. (G) 59. Talbot N. 34. Bakayoko S. 28. Lo A. 25. Appiah A. 27. Lutin R. 6. Monconduit T. 45. Fofana I. 7. Hamache I. 8. Lobry V. (C) 11. Averlant T.
Substitutes
30. Abner F. 20. Bardeli E. 11. Daho A. 24. Dziki Loussilaho L. 16. Eguaras I. 19. Kante A. 33. Tou S. K. (G)	17. Chibozo A. 77. Daf I. 26. Ikia Dimi Y. 20. Kaiboue K. 44. Louis C. 15. Nduquidi J. 16. Sauvage A. (G)
Coaches
Sanchez A.	Daf O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Essimi M. ⚽, Sylvestre E. (A),
16', Fofana I. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Essimi M. ⚽, Georgen A. (A),
24', Essimi M. 🟨,
34', 3 - 0, Essimi M. ⚽, Kondo G. (A),
44', 4 - 0, Robinet T. ⚽, Sylvestre E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Averlant T. ↓, Nduquidi J. ↑,
46', Lutin R. ↓, Kaiboue K. ↑,
46', Hamache I. ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
46', 5 - 0, Sasso V. ⚽, Sylvestre E. (A),
50', 5 - 1, Ikia Dimi Y. ⚽, Talbot N. (A),
66', Fofana I. ↓, Chibozo A. ↑,
67', Georgen A. ↓, Dziki Loussilaho L. ↑,
67', Sasso V. ↓, Abner F. ↑,
68', Zossou A. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
68', Dziki Loussilaho L. 🟨,
69', Sylvestre E. ↓, Eguaras I. ↑,
76', Essimi M. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
78', 6 - 1, Kondo G. ⚽, Daho A. (A),
79', Niflore M. 🟨,
81', Talbot N. ↓, Daf I. ↑,
90+4', 6 - 2, Chibozo A. ⚽, Monconduit T. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 3.

Dunkerque has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Amiens has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Amiens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dunkerque is the team to beat.

There will not play in Dunkerque: Linguet A. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Amiens: Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Mlakar J. (Inactive) Rafii Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Dunkerque: Lavin M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Amiens: Chabane A. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
23.09.25	Guingamp - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Dunkerque - Le Mans	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Grenoble - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Dunkerque - Troyes	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Dunkerque - Nancy	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLWL
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
23.09.25	Amiens - Saint-Étienne	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Laval - Amiens	0:3 ✺
12.09.25	Amiens - Bastia	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Montpellier - Amiens	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Amiens - Annecy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
11.04.25	Amiens - Dunkerque	1:0
01.11.24	Dunkerque - Amiens	3:1
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Dunkerque - Amiens	5:1
French Ligue 2
20.04.24	Amiens - Dunkerque	0:1
04.11.23	Dunkerque - Amiens	0:1
22.04.22	Dunkerque - Amiens	0:0
03.12.21	Amiens - Dunkerque	3:0

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