Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Nantes		Lorient

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3.35	2.42
	2.63	3.48	2.73
	2.44	3.48	2.77	Watch
	3.04	3.46	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.45)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)	2.56 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
34.2%

Draw
28.2%

Lorient
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.2%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	21.1%	42.1%

Nantes - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Lorient will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Lorient (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Lorient (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopes A. (G) 98. Amian K. (C) 6. Awaziem C. 78. Tati T. 3. Cozza N. 17. Tabibou D. 5. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 80. Mwanga J. 15. Lahdo M. 19. El Arabi Y. 10. Abline M.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 5. Meite B. 3. Talbi M. (C) 44. Yongwa D. 11. Le Bris T. 62. Avom A. 8. Cadiou N. 43. Kouassi A. 15. Tosin A. 29. Karim D. 28. Soumano S.
Substitutes
14. Camara A. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 18. Centonze F. 52. Deuff B. 11. Guirassy B. 7. Hong Hyun-Seok 8. Lepenant J. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 26. Radakovic U.	32. Adjei N. 9. Bamba M. 12. Dieng B. 21. Kamara B. (G) 17. Makengo J. 19. Monnier I. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 10. Pagis P. 97. Siba S.
Coaches
Castro L.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Awaziem C. (Own goal),
45+6', Lopes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Tosin A. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
59', Karim D. ↓, Pagis P. ↑,
59', El Arabi Y. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
59', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Lepenant J. ↑,
62', Lahdo M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
71', Soumano S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
76', Yongwa D. 🟨,
81', Tabibou D. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Awaziem C. ⚽,
90+2', Meite B. ↓, Adjei N. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Nantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F. (Hamstring Injury) Leroux L. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Lorient: Abergel L. (Muscle Injury) Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Faye A. (Foot Injury) Igor Silva (Heel Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Sanusi T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Toure I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Nantes: Lahdo M. (Shoulder Injury) Lepenant J. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:11. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
08.11.25	Le Havre - Nantes	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Nantes - Metz	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Nantes - Monaco	3:5 ✺
24.10.25	Paris FC - Nantes	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Nantes - Lille	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLLWL
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
09.11.25	Lorient - Toulouse	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Lens - Lorient	3:0 ✺
29.10.25	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Angers - Lorient	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Lorient - Brest	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.08.24	Nantes - Lorient	1:1
French Ligue 1
24.02.24	Lorient - Nantes	0:1
23.09.23	Nantes - Lorient	5:3
Club Friendly
02.08.23	Lorient - Nantes	3:1
French Ligue 1
12.02.23	Nantes - Lorient	1:0
Club Friendly
21.12.22	Lorient - Nantes	2:1
French Ligue 1
11.09.22	Lorient - Nantes	3:2

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