Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Licorne (Amiens)

Referee: Toulliou W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Amiens		Niort

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4.1
	1.86	3.4	4
	1.87	3.35	3.85
	1.91	3.5	4.45
	1.85	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.86	3.48	4.25	Watch
	1.87	3.35	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.95)	3.39 ↑ (3.22)	4.08 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amiens
49.8%

Draw
27.4%

Niort
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

28.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Amiens - Niort Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Niort will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Amiens has the most likely position - 6 (8.3%), has project points - 58, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (14.06%), has project points - 39, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (39%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 29, importance 32, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amiens won 2.

Recent matches Amiens is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Niort is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Amiens is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Amiens won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Amiens won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
10.09.22	Caen - Amiens	3:1 ✺
02.09.22	Amiens - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
30.08.22	Amiens - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Le Havre - Amiens	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Amiens - Bastia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTTW
- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
10.09.22	Niort - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Quevilly - Niort	3:3 ✺
30.08.22	Niort - Valenciennes	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Sochaux - Niort	3:0 ✺
20.08.22	Niort - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
12.02.22	Amiens - Niort	3:1
28.08.21	Niort - Amiens	0:0
08.05.21	Amiens - Niort	0:0
08.01.21	Niort - Amiens	0:2
20.01.17	Niort - Amiens	2:1
12.08.16	Amiens - Niort	2:0

Amiens - Niort: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide