Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 6

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4


	Caen		Amiens

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2	3.3	3.7
	1.95	3.4	3.75
	2.02	3.38	4.01
	1.99	3.42	3.93	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.7
	1.97	3.5	3.87	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.94)	3.41 ↓ (3.49)	3.79 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
47.6%

Draw
27.5%

Amiens
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

27.9%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Caen - Amiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Amiens will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caen: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 3. Bolumbu D. 61. Traore B. 29. Thomas R. (C) 28. Lecoeuche Q. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 6. M'Vila Y. 17. Kyeremeh G. 10. Brahimi B. 7. Gomis T. 19. Mendy A.	1. Gurtner R. (C) 7. Leautey A. 34. Bakayoko S. 2. Fofana M. 5. Urhoghide O. 19. Vita R. 10. Kandil N. 29. Boya F. 25. Gene O. 27. Lutin R. 9. Mafouta L.
Substitutes
16. Clementia Y. (G) 18. Coulibaly K. 4. Henry V. 8. Le Bihan M. 20. Lebreton N. 50. Najim I. 14. Rajot L.	39. Chabane A. 17. Chibozo A. 45. Fofana I. 13. Jaouab M. 35. Moussier L. 16. Sauvage A. (G) 20. Tine M.
Coaches
Seube N.	Daf O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Mendy A. ⚽, Brahimi B. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Mafouta L. ⚽, Boya F. (A),
30', Gene O. 🟨,
45', Bolumbu D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bolumbu D. ↓, Henry V. ↑,
62', Gaucho Debohi D. ↓, Lebreton N. ↑,
70', Lebreton N. 🟨,
73', Boya F. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Mendy A. ⚽, Gomis T. (A),
82', Gene O. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
82', Kandil N. ↓, Moussier L. ↑,
84', Kyeremeh G. ↓, Rajot L. ↑,
87', Lutin R. ↓, Chibozo A. ↑,
90+1', Gomis T. ↓, Le Bihan M. ↑,
90+1', Mendy A. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
90+7', Brahimi B. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 3.

Caen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Amiens is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Caen won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
20.09.24	Caen - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
16.09.24	Grenoble - Caen	3:1 ✺
30.08.24	Caen - Annecy	1:1 ✺
23.08.24	Pau - Caen	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Caen - Paris FC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTLL
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
20.09.24	Amiens - Clermont	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Annecy - Amiens	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Amiens - Lorient	1:0 ✺
23.08.24	Bastia - Amiens	1:0 ✺
16.08.24	Amiens - Red Star	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.02.24	Caen - Amiens	2:0
19.12.23	Amiens - Caen	0:0
20.05.23	Amiens - Caen	1:3
10.09.22	Caen - Amiens	3:1
16.04.22	Caen - Amiens	1:1
06.11.21	Amiens - Caen	0:0
05.02.21	Amiens - Caen	0:0

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