Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 18

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday


	Ammanford		Llanelli

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.66
	3.86	4.05	1.62
				Watch
	4	3.9	1.7
	4.11	4	1.65
	4	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.29)	3.99 ↑ (3.6)	1.66 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ammanford
22.7%

Draw
22.7%

Llanelli
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

25.5%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

24.7%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ammanford's form might have worsened.

Llanelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llanelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Llanelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ammanford - Llanelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Williams D. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Cann E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ammanford won 2.

Recent matches Ammanford is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Llanelli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Llanelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Llanelli is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ammanford won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:12 (average 2.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ammanford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
30.11.24	Taffs Well AFC - Ammanford	1:2 ✺
22.11.24	Trefelin - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.11.24	Ammanford - Haverfordwest County	1:2 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru South
08.11.24	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	0:2 ✺
01.11.24	Pontypridd United - Ammanford	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLLL
- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru South
20.12.24	Llanelli - Cambrian United	1:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
13.12.24	Haverfordwest County - Llanelli	0:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
30.11.24	Carmarthen Town - Llanelli	1:1 ✺
22.11.24	Llanelli - Goytre United	7:1 ✺
08.11.24	Llanelli - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
22.03.24	Ammanford - Llanelli	1:3
26.12.23	Llanelli - Ammanford	1:2
10.03.23	Ammanford - Llanelli	0:1
12.08.22	Llanelli - Ammanford	1:1
30.04.22	Ammanford - Llanelli	5:0
23.07.21	Llanelli - Ammanford	0:3
14.02.20	Ammanford - Llanelli	2:5

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