Match Info

Cymru South - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Ammanford		Caerau Ely

	1	X	2
	2	3.65	2.98
	2	3.83	3.06
	3.30	3.91	1.94	Watch
	2.1	3.66	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.37)	3.76 ↑ (3.42)	2.78 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ammanford
40.5%

Draw
25.3%

Caerau Ely
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.4%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26.7%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Ammanford - Caerau Ely Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ammanford (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ammanford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Griffiths D. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, John R. ⚽,
21', 2 - 1, John R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 3 - 1, Clarke M. ⚽,
86', 3 - 2, Ashford J. (Pen),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 4).

Ammanford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Caerau is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ammanford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ammanford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
25.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Ammanford - Treowen Stars	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Ynyshir Albions - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
08.08.25	Ammanford - Llantwit Major	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Cardiff Draconians - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWTWW
- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
25.08.25	Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Cardiff Draconians - Caerau Ely	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Caerau Ely - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Ynyshir Albions - Caerau Ely	1:4 ✺
Welsh League Cup
18.07.25	Caerau Ely - Trefelin	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
17.01.25	Caerau Ely - Ammanford	2:1
08.11.24	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	0:2
29.03.24	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	1:1
12.08.23	Caerau Ely - Ammanford	1:2
20.09.19	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	2:1

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